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CHARTBOOK: Agentic AI Is Here – What Investors Need to Know

Agentic AI: Investment Insights for Financial Advisors

AI is advancing at breakneck pace, accelerating far more quickly than traditional innovation cycles. Breakthroughs that once took years now arrive in months, reshaping what’s possible across technology and society.

Today, Agentic AI represents a step change in automation and intelligence. Agentic systems don’t just respond, they act. With this ability, Agentic AI could reshape how businesses operate and where future value is created.

In this article, we explore Agentic AI – what it is, the business opportunities it unlocks and where we believe the greatest value is likely to be created.

01: Agentic AI Can Take Action, Representing a Step Change in the AI Evolution

While interpretations vary, the most accepted definition of Agentic AI is an AI system capable of independently planning and executing tasks on behalf of a user to achieve a specific goal.

It represents a significant evolution beyond Traditional and Gen AI:

  • Traditional AI and automation tools are rule-based and require human input at every stage.
  • Gen AI introduced flexibility by creating content in response to prompts but still relies on users to guide each interaction.

Agentic AI goes a step further. It understands goals and can autonomously plan, make decisions and take initiative without constant human direction. It can direct other AI agents to do tasks and delegate individual pieces of work – like making calculations or retrieving data from another system. This autonomy makes it more capable of managing complex workflows end to end.

Let’s apply this framework to an example. Today, an emerging use case for Gen AI is to develop an itinerary for your vacation – researching places to stay, towns to visit and well-reviewed activities. Agentic AI will go further and book those activities for you.


INVESTOR INSIGHT

AI technology is evolving at unprecedented speed, with Agentic AI marking the next big leap. The rapid pace of change means investors should pay close attention to where these breakthroughs are turning into real business impact.


Agentic Operating System1

A diagram of the Agentic Operating System showing user input, memory, a manager agent, and sub-agents handling tasks like booking tickets and sending confirmations.

02: Agentic AI Is Suited to a Vast Range of Business Applications

Agentic AI value lies in transforming human-dependent services into scalable, always-on applications. By embedding it into the backbone of the business, small productivity gains can compound into significant enterprise value.

Thanks to its contextual awareness and ability to operate across systems, Agentic AI can be applied across functions and industries. In customer support, for instance, an AI agent can interpret sentiment, reference past interactions and deliver real-time responses to customers. While AI can accelerate certain workflows, it lacks the capability to fully replace mission-critical enterprise systems, especially in highly regulated domains like finance.

For investors, these advancements signal a shift in how enterprise productivity can be achieved. As agents increasingly handle routine tasks, organizations can theoretically scale output without proportional increases in headcount, driving margin expansion. In some functions, this may result in a reimagined role for workers where they handle judgment and strategy and their team of agents handles execution at scale.

≥15%

Gartner® predicts, “by 2028, at least 15% of day-to-day work decisions will be made autonomously through agentic AI, up from 0% in 2024.”2


INVESTOR INSIGHT

While most companies stand to benefit, value creation could diverge sharply. We believe that winning corporations will be those that evolve workflows and embed AI into core systems, backed by clear objectives, strong leadership and scalable adoption strategies.


Below are several high-impact use cases where businesses are already using or planning to use Agentic AI in the next six months according to a PwC survey.3

Agentic Use by Business Function

A graphic showing the percentage of Agentic use by business function. The chart highlights four categories: Customer Support (57%), IT & Cybersecurity (53%), Sales & Marketing (54%), and Human Resources (40%).

Select Traits of Successful Corporate AI Adopters

Organizations that achieve lasting value from AI share the following practices that distinguish them from those experimenting without impact:4

  • Clear Objectives: Prioritize AI initiatives tied to measurable business outcomes.
  • Integrated Workflows: Embed AI into core systems used by end users.
  • Executive Sponsorship: Back efforts with senior leadership and cross functional support.
  • Iterative Approach: Launch pilots with a plan to scale based on results.
  • ROI Tracking: Use dashboards to measure and communicate business impact.

03: Agentic AI Requires Infrastructure at Massive Scale

These investments – driven largely by cloud hyperscalers like Google, Microsoft and AWS, and semiconductor providers like NVIDIA – reflect the massive infrastructure demands required to train and run foundational models at scale.

Unlike traditional software, which operates on deterministic logic and predictable compute cycles, Agentic AI relies on large models, real-time inference and constant access to structured and unstructured data. This creates intensive infrastructure needs at the platform level, including high-performance compute, storage and data orchestration.

Enterprise buyers won’t need to invest in this infrastructure themselves, but they will need to pay for access. As agentic capabilities become embedded into software products, companies should expect new licensing models and pricings, creating a new layer of spend within enterprise IT budgets.

By 2030, supporting Gen AI and Agentic AI could require up to $5.2TN in AI-specific data center investment globally.5


INVESTOR INSIGHT

Foundational investments in compute and infrastructure are being made by hyperscalers and model providers, not enterprises. Corporations will access these capabilities through platforms and software providers, creating new spend categories within IT budgets rather than requiring infrastructure build out.


04: Through Agentic AI, Software Becomes a Beneficiary

While startups drive experimentation, established software providers hold a structural advantage when delivering agentic capabilities. These platforms operate at the core of enterprise workflows and benefit from:

  • Proprietary data and domain-specific workflows
  • Deep understanding of customer needs
  • Demonstrated ability to deliver on compliance and security
  • Longstanding, trusted customer relationships

We believe that Agentic AI will follow the same multi-wave value creation cycle seen in past technology shifts, like the internet.

  • Wave One: Hardware and semiconductor providers benefit from supplying foundational compute.
  • Wave Two: Cloud hyperscalers gain from making AI accessible at scale.
  • Wave Three: Durable value shifts to enterprise software, which bridges powerful AI models with real-world business applications.

That said, success isn’t guaranteed. Delivering at scale will require more than integration. Software companies must evolve strategy, modernize applications and build AI-ready teams. The winners will be those that align execution, infrastructure and operating models with an AI-forward future.

$1.24TN

The amount worldwide IT software spending is projected to reach by 2025, representing a 14% growth from the previous year. This is despite rapid advances in AI tools.7


INVESTOR INSIGHT

As in prior technology waves, durable value is expected to shift from infrastructure to applications. Enterprise software that embeds agentic capabilities into proprietary data and workflows could drive the next era of growth.


Cumulative Projected Gen AI-Driven Value Creation8

A diagram illustrating the cumulative projected value creation driven by generative AI across various sectors. The sectors include wave 1 (hardware/semiconductors) at $2-3TN, wave 2 (hyperscalers & infrastructure providers) at $1.5-2.5TN, and wave 3 (software) at $3-5TN where there are ~100K companies and 96% of them are private.

05: Agentic AI Can Drive Cost Efficiencies and Revenue Impact in Software

As AI matures, enterprise software platforms that successfully integrate intelligent agents will become even more entrenched – driving deeper customer reliance, increasing switching costs and strengthening their competitive moats.

60%+ of the software market could be made up of agents by 2030, according to Goldman Sachs.9


INVESTOR INSIGHT

The dual upside for software lies in revenue expansion and cost efficiency. Software companies that integrate Agentic AI into their product offering can unlock new monetization while simultaneously reducing expenses.


Modern AI Opportunity for Enterprise Software10

A diagram illustrating the modern AI opportunity for enterprise software. The diagram shows illustrative revenue impact and cost impact, highlighting AI-enabled revenue at 5-15%+ and AI-enabled OpEx at (10-25%).

Final Thoughts

Agentic AI marks a meaningful evolution in how intelligence is applied within businesses. While the use cases span functions and industries, enterprise software could be one of the greatest beneficiaries, serving as the distribution layer for agentic capabilities.

For investors, this can represent a pivotal moment to explore the range of investment opportunities that won’t just enable the AI shift – they’ll shape the next era of enterprise value creation.

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Sources

1 Vista Equity Partners, September 2025.
2 “2025 Top Strategic Technology Trends,” Gartner e-Book, October 2024, https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/top-technology-trends-2025. GARTNER is a registered trademark and service mark of Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates in the U.S. and internationally and is used herein with permission. All rights reserved.
3 “PwC’s AI Agent Survey,” PwC, May 2025. Note: Asked only of respondents who are currently using or planning to us AI agents. Q: In which of the following business functions is your company currently using or planning to use AI agents in the next 6 months? (Select all that apply.)
4Vista opinion and analysis, 2025.
5 “The cost of compute: A $7 trillion race to scale data centers,” McKinsey, April 2025.
6Algorithmic Progress In Language Models,” Ho et al, March 2024.
7 Gartner Forecasts Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 9.3% in 2025,” Gartner Press Release, October 23, 2024, https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2024-10-23- gartner-forecasts-worldwide-it-spending-to-grow-nine-point-three-percent-in-2025.
8 Q1 2024 Bain & Company market study. Figures represent cumulative market capitalization value forecasted to be created between 2023 and 2030 (e.g., 2025 values represent total projected value accumulated to that point). Value creation was estimated through a combination of (1) assessing current market performance of ‘Generative AI Market Leaders’ (Hardware: NVIDIA, Intel, AMD, Broadcom, HP; CSPs / Infra: Microsoft, Google, Amazon, IBM, Alibaba; Software: Adobe, Salesforce, ServiceNow, Oracle, SAP) to estimate value created to-date and (2) projecting Generative AI-driven revenue through 2030 using Bain’s AI market forecast to calculate incremental market capitalization gains. Certain information presented in this slide was prepared by a third party and Vista makes no representation regarding its accuracy. The “forecasts” presented herein are provided for illustrative purposes only, and actual results may differ materially. Such information herein was selected by Vista and although Vista believes that the determinations related to the market backdrop described herein are reasonable, they are inherently subjective in nature. Other market participants may make different determinations relating to the market based on the same underlying data.
9 “AI Agents to Boost Productivity and Size of Software Market,” Goldman Sachs, July 2025.
10 BCG analysis as of February 2025. Note: Range of outcomes is large and will be bespoke for each company and is driven by combination of people and process transformation plus standalone tech implementation. Certain information presented in this slide was prepared by a third party and Vista makes no representation regarding its accuracy. The “forecasts” presented herein are provided for illustrative purposes only, and actual results may differ materially. Such information herein was selected by Vista and although Vista believes that the determinations related to the market backdrop described herein are reasonable, they are inherently subjective in nature. Other market participants may make different determinations relating to the market based on the same underlying data. Illustrative software company with $100 revenue and $100 OpEx today as calculation baseline.Calculation baseline for functional cost is split based on BCG cost benchmarks (sales, marketing & customer success: ~38% of OpEx; customer service: ~7% of OpEx; software R&D: ~30% of OpEx).

Disclosures 

This document does not constitute an offer to sell any securities or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any securities. This document discusses broad market, industry or sector trends, or other general economic, market or political conditions and should not be construed as research, investment advice, or any investment recommendation.

Statements contained in this document (including those relating to current and future market conditions and trends in respect thereof) that are not historical facts are based on current expectations, estimates, projections, targets, opinions, beliefs, and/or assumptions Vista considers reasonable. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, and undue reliance should not be placed thereon. In addition, no representation or warranty is made with respect to the reasonableness of any estimates, forecasts, illustrations, prospects or returns, which should be regarded as illustrative only, or that any profits will be realized. Certain information contained herein constitutes “forward-looking statements,” which can be identified by the use of terms such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “project”, “estimate”, “intend”, “continue”, “target” or “believe” (or the negatives thereof) or other variations thereon or comparable terminology. Due to various risks and uncertainties actual events or results may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty is made as to future performance or such forward-looking statements.

Certain information contained in this document has been obtained from published and non-published sources prepared by other parties, which in certain cases have not been updated through the date hereof. While such information is believed to be reliable, Vista does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information and such information has not been independently verified by it. Except where otherwise indicated herein, the information provided in this document is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation of this document and not as of any future date and will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available, or circumstances existing or changes occurring after the date hereof, or for any other reason.

No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein.

The use of artificial intelligence (“AI”) is increasing rapidly, which presents both significant opportunities for growth and competitive advantage, but also introduces substantial risks to Vista and its investments. The field of AI is characterized by rapid and ongoing technological innovation. While this presents significant opportunities for growth and competitive advantage, it also introduces a substantial risk of technological obsolescence. Even if the AI-related initiative described herein is successfully implemented, Vista could be outpaced by competitors who develop more advanced, efficient, or cost-effective technologies. Additionally, breakthroughs in areas such as quantum computing, machine learning algorithms, or data analytics could rapidly render existing technologies and business models obsolete. Accordingly, any direct or indirect investment in Artificial Intelligence carries a significant risk of depreciation due to technological obsolescence and the value of such investment could decline if the investment failed to stay at the forefront of technological advancements.

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